
Will Julia Eckert@JuliaEckert10 end up with a post in Asimov Press or Quanta Magazine by 2030?
0
Ṁ1002031
50%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Neal Stephenson publish a novel in which AI is a crucial plot element by the end of 2026?
4% chance
By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?
76% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?
41% chance
Will a widely read online blogger/author/opinion writer turns out to be an AI before 2030?
86% chance
Will Julia Galef (Rationally Speaking podcast, Center for Applied Rationality) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
2% chance
Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?
8% chance
Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?
59% chance
Will AI win a Pulitzer by 2030?
10% chance
Will Claire Wang (@clairebookworm) become a comedian by 2060?
17% chance
Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?
96% chance