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MANIFOLD
In what year will an AI achieve 90%+ on Sudoku bench?
9
Ṁ150Ṁ327
2030
26%
2026-
25%
2027
20%
2028
7%
2029
5%
2030
17%
2031+

The market resolves to the first year in which an AI system achieves above 90% on the single shot avg solve rate on all puzzles in the Sudoku benchmark hosted at https://pub.sakana.ai/sudoku/. Resolution will be determined by the official results published on that benchmark page. If no AI system reaches 90% accuracy by the end of 2030, the market resolves to "2031+".

Top score as of 2025.12.02 is 33% by gpt-5 high.

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