Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the closing price of NVIDIA Corporation common stock (NASDAQ: NVDA) is at or above $200.00 USD on or before the final regular trading day of 2028 (expected to be December 29, 2028).

Additional resolution details:

• Primary Source: Closing prices as reported by Nasdaq or Yahoo Finance.

• Timing: Resolution evaluates official regular trading hours closing prices (excluding pre-market or after-hours sessions). If the market creator intended for intraday highs to trigger early resolution, or strictly for the closing price on the final trading day of 2028, the creator should edit the criteria accordingly.

• Corporate Actions & Splits: The $200.00 price target will be adjusted proportionally for any stock splits, reverse stock splits, or stock dividends occurring after the market creation date.

• If NVDA is acquired, taken private, or ceases trading prior to reaching $200.00 (adjusted), the market resolves based on the final transaction price per share.

Background

NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) completed a 10-for-1 forward stock split in June 2024. Reaching $200.00 post-split would correspond to an unadjusted pre-split share price of $2,000.00, representing a significant milestone in market capitalization.

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Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if NVIDIA Corporation common stock (NASDAQ: NVDA) reaches or exceeds an official regular trading session price of $200.00 USD at any point on or before the close of the final trading day of 2028 (expected to be December 29, 2028). Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

• Source: Historical and real-time trade data reported by Nasdaq (NVDA) or Yahoo Finance (NVDA).

• Trading Hours: Only regular market hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET) count. Pre-market and after-hours trading do not qualify.

• Stock Splits: The $200.00 target will be adjusted proportionally for any forward or reverse stock splits occurring between market creation and the end of 2028 (e.g., a 2-for-1 forward split would reduce the threshold to $100.00).

• Delisting / Acquisition: If NVDA is acquired, taken private, or ceases trading prior to hitting the threshold, the market resolves based on the final acquisition price per share (split-adjusted).

Background

• NVIDIA completed a 10-for-1 stock split on June 7, 2024. A post-split price of $200.00 would equate to an unadjusted pre-split price of $2,000.00 per share.

• At an approximate share count of ~24.5 billion shares outstanding following the 2024 split, a share price of $200.00 implies a market capitalization of approximately $4.9 trillion to $5.0 trillion USD.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.