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MANIFOLD
Will Reiner Fuellmich become German chancellor before 2040?
0
Ṁ100
2039
5%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Reiner Fuellmich is officially sworn in or appointed as the Chancellor of the Federal Republic of Germany (Bundeskanzler) at any point before January 1, 2040, 00:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

Resolution will be verified using official announcements from the German Federal Government (bundeskanzler.de) or the German Bundestag (bundestag.de), supported by credible reporting from major international news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Deutsche Welle, AP News).

Background

Reiner Fuellmich is a German lawyer and former leading figure of the "Corona Investigative Committee" (Corona-Ausschuss). During the COVID-19 pandemic, he gained prominence in anti-lockdown and vaccine-skeptic movements, notably promoting the idea of an international "Nuremberg 2.0" tribunal.

In the 2021 German federal election, Fuellmich stood as a lead candidate for the fringe party dieBasis, which received approximately 1.4% of the second vote and won no seats in the Bundestag. In October 2023, Fuellmich was detained and extradited from Mexico to Germany, where he subsequently faced legal proceedings and detention on charges of embezzlement regarding committee funds. Under Article 63 of Germany's Basic Law, the Chancellor is elected by a majority vote of the members of the Bundestag upon the proposal of the Federal President.

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