How many launches will SpaceX have in November?

Question

Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxspacexcount/spacex-launches/kxspacexcount-26nov

Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.

Kalshi's rules: If SpaceX has more than 9 launches in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Above 6, followed by Above 7 and Above 8 are most likely. See the market for live updates (23 traders, as of Nov 9, 2026).

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