Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory
9
Ṁ225Ṁ4.7k2027
75%
Neal, 27+ pts
37%
Neal, 30+ pts
90%
Neal, 24+ pts
24%
Neal, 33+ pts
95%
Neal, 21+ pts
13%
Neal, 36+ pts
97%
Neal, 18+ pts
90%
Neal, 15+ pts
93%
Neal, 12+ pts
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/midterm-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ma01d
Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 1st District by 27 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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