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MANIFOLD
Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
13
Ṁ375Ṁ3.7k
Jan 3
0.1%
Texas
0.1%
Kansas
0.2%
South Carolina
0.1%
North Carolina
99%
Mississippi
0.1%
Alaska
0.1%
Iowa
0.1%
Ohio
0.1%
Louisiana
0.1%
Georgia
0.1%
Montana
0.1%
Florida
0.1%
Michigan
0.1%
New Hampshire
0.1%
Minnesota

Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator/kxreddestdsen-27jan03

Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.

Kalshi's rules: If Texas is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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