[RESOLVES JANUARY 31] Will the Senate majority leader and speaker of the house both be Democrats after the 2026 midterms

Question

There are some other markets on whether Democrats will control both chambers, but they are set to be resolved based on called races. I want to know whether Democrats will actually control both chambers.

Resolves YES if at any time before close both the speaker and the majority leader are registered Democrats. Resolves NO otherwise.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 98% chance (37 traders, as of Nov 6, 2026).

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