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MANIFOLD
2028 US Presidential Election's ultimate bellwether: will the winner of this state win the presidency?
4
Ṁ1kṀ550
2028
80%
Pennsylvania
74%
Michigan
74%
Wisconsin
72%
Georgia
69%
North Carolina
69%
Arizona
69%
Nevada
65%
New Hampshire
65%
Minnesota
53%
Ohio

Each answer the resolves independently from each other.

Resolves YES for a state, if the person who wins the state wins the 2028 United States Presidential Election.

Example: if democrats win Georgia while republicans win Pennsylvania, with the end result being a Democratic President, then Georgia resolves YES while Pennsylvania resolves NO.

You may add new answers on this market, but do note that non competitive states are discouraged because they will just be equivalent to the default "which party wins this state" market.

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