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MANIFOLD
All Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027?
90
Ṁ1kṀ210k
2027
8%
chance

same resolution criteria as https://manifold.markets/SG/all-millennium-prize-problem-solved except substitute "January 1, 2030" with "April 30, 2027"

Math
Millennium Prize Problems
Mathematics
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Ṁ1,000
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this should be ~80%

@jim

opened a Ṁ16 NO at 79% order

@jim Better buy more YES shares while they are still cheap!

opened a Ṁ30,000 NO at 20% order

@jim order up

bought Ṁ20 YES

Meaningful progress on:
- BSD
- Hodge
- Riemann
https://openai.com/index/sharing-ai-progress-in-mathematics/

filled a Ṁ50,000 NO at 8% order

95% at least one is harder than early 2027 models can handle, 10% at least one is undecidable. I don’t think this is an interest rate market but I’ll take the bet.

@Sketchy ELI5 why would proving that one of them is undecidable not trigger the prize and or tick a box for this market?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen hmm is the millenium prize awarded for a problem that’s proven undecidable?

@Sketchy it isn't immediately obvious to me that it wouldn't be

opened a Ṁ2,000 NO at 35% order

@traders More orders up!

opened a Ṁ3,000 NO at 15% order

@traders Order up!

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