YouTube has announced new YouTube Partner Program (YPP) entry thresholds for the ad revenue tier, starting February 1, 2027. This market asks whether YouTube changes or delays that plan before it starts.
Current thresholds (as of market creation, November 2026):
Fan funding tier: 500 subscribers and either 3,000 public watch hours in the last 12 months or 3 million Shorts views in the last 90 days.
Ad revenue tier: 1,000 subscribers and either 4,000 public watch hours in the last 12 months or 10 million Shorts views in the last 90 days.
Announced for new applicants from February 1, 2027:
Ad revenue tier: 1,000 subscribers and either 8,000 watch hours in the last 365 days or 20 million Shorts views in the last 90 days.
Fan funding tier: no change.
A plain summary of both tiers and the 2027 change is here: YouTube monetization requirements for 2026. Disclosure: I run MonetizationKit, the site behind that page. I won't trade in this market.
Resolves YES if, after this market is created and before the end of January 31, 2027 (Pacific Time), YouTube officially changes any of the following from the values listed above:
the subscriber, watch-hour or Shorts-view number for either tier, as it will apply from February 1, 2027;
the time window for any of those numbers (12 months / 365 days / 90 days);
the February 1, 2027 start date (postponed, brought forward, or cancelled).
A change that applies only in some countries or to some channel types also counts as YES.
Resolves NO if, when checked on or after February 1, 2027, YouTube's official pages still show the announced thresholds starting on February 1, 2027 and the fan funding thresholds unchanged.
Does not count (on its own):
the already-announced change taking effect on February 1, 2027 as planned;
rewording, translation or layout edits that leave every number and date the same;
changes to existing-partner rules: the "active channel" requirements, the rolling minimum of 10 million qualified Shorts views over the last 90 days needed to earn from the Shorts Creator Pool each month, or the January 31, 2027 deadline to accept the updated terms;
adding or removing countries where YPP or the fan funding tier is available;
rumours, leaks, third-party reports or tests seen by individual creators without an official YouTube statement.
Sources, in this order:
1. YouTube Help, "Changes to the YouTube Partner Program": Changes to the YouTube Partner Program - YouTube Help (English version)
2. YouTube Help, "YouTube Partner Program overview & eligibility": YouTube Partner Program overview & eligibility - Computer - YouTube Help (English version)
3. Official YouTube announcements (YouTube Official Blog, Creator Insider channel, @TeamYouTube) if the help pages haven't been updated yet.
If sources disagree, the English help page for "Changes to the YouTube Partner Program" wins. If YouTube announces a change before the deadline that takes effect later, it still counts as YES, since the announcement is the change in plan.
N/A only if the help pages above are removed and YouTube publishes no replacement statement of the thresholds before February 15, 2027.
1,000