Will any lab get a C grade for existential safety in the FLI's Winter 2026 AI Safety Index scorecard?
7
Ṁ100Ṁ436Dec 31
49%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
What grade will Anthropic get for existential safety in the FLI's AI Safety Index Winter 2026?
What grade will Z.ai get for existential safety in the FLI's AI Safety Index Winter 2026?
What grade will OpenAI get for existential safety in the FLI's AI Safety Index Winter 2026?
Will a major AI lab enter the aerospace industry by EOY 2026?
85% chance
Will "Shallow review of technical AI safety, 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will I get an AI lab offer?
14% chance
Will a frontier AI lab publicly report catching one of its own models gaming a safety evaluation before the end of 2027?
76% chance
In 2030, will we think FLI's 6 month pause open letter helped or harmed our AI x-risk chances?
WIll I work (at some point) at a top AI lab on safety in the next 5 years?
74% chance
Will Inflection AI Reach Major Lab Status?
6% chance