Listed every State Proposition for California for the upcoming Nov 2026 midterm. Market resolves before election day because I care about knowing the market's view on ballot outcomes before election day.
Each proposition will end in either a YES or NO vote according to its rules (ie I'm not sure if certain propositions require a super majority vs a simple majority to pass etc).
Props 40, 41, 42, 43 are interconnected and have generated a lot of buzz. I'm the most interested in these four measures.
## Oct 31, 2026 Update
Because of those four propositions being interconnected, I will determine in isolation whether or not each one passes - ie even if 42 or 42 get more Yes votes and make 40 void BUT 40 on its own passes, I'll resolve 40 as a Yes/Pass even though it became negated.
1,000People are also trading
@Gen thanks for resolving these as they happen. I'm trying to do this as well as they count the ballots and announce periodically
@sudomitch no worries, apologies as it was likely me that extended it - we had these referenced on the election map so it was all added to our bulk resolve tool to track and resolve as results came in. We opened things up so we could get an easy signal on what to check for resolution
Not sure why the market closing date shifted to the 17th... I swore I had it ending tonight and just now moved it to end tonight, Nov 3rd Pacific time. Sorry about any confusion around this.
I'll resolve it once votes are definitively counted.
@mitchellreynolds markets that are in the display dashboard were extended so the probabilities displayed were accurate
