Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the primary Vsauce YouTube channel (@Vsauce) publishes at least one new, publicly viewable long-form video before 11:59:59 PM UTC on December 31 of the current calendar year.

For the purposes of this market:

• The video must appear under the "Videos" tab on the main @Vsauce channel page, not exclusively under the "Shorts" or "Live" tabs.

• The video must have a runtime of at least 8 minutes (480 seconds).

• YouTube Shorts, clips, trailers/announcements under 8 minutes, Community posts, unlisted/private uploads, and re-uploads of previously released content do not qualify.

• Videos posted on secondary channels (e.g., Vsauce2, Vsauce3, or D!NG) or guest appearances on other channels do not qualify.

If no eligible video is published before the deadline, this market resolves to NO.

Background

Michael Stevens launched the main Vsauce channel in 2010, building a following primarily through long-form philosophical and scientific video essays. In recent years, Stevens shifted focus toward short-form content via YouTube Shorts, making full-length uploads rare. After an upload hiatus spanning late 2022 to mid-2025, Vsauce released the 22-minute video "All The Ghosts You Will Be" in July 2025. Because releases of standard-length videos remain sporadic and unannounced, whether another full essay will drop in any given window remains highly uncertain.

Since resolution for this market will be highly unlikely to be ambiguous, I may trade on this market.