Will the Collatz conjecture be resolved by the end of the decade (11:59, 31 December 2029)?

Ṁ1kṀ4.7k

2030

29%

chance

ALL

It's a problem a child could understand. Still, there have been countless mathematicians "wasting their careers" attempting to solve what is beyond our grasp -- and it fundamentally comes down to understanding how the multiplicative structure of the integers interacts with the additive. This will be resolved if a proof or disproof is in a journal of high esteem by the time the clock ticks by.

Math

Collatz

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will a millennium problem be solved in 2026?

99% chance

Will the Collatz Conjecture (3x+1 problem) be solved before 2030?

31% chance

In what year will the Collatz conjecture be solved?

2035

Will a counterexample to the Collatz conjecture be found before midnight new year 2028?

3% chance

Will there be a trend spike for the term "collatz" before 2027?

76% chance

Will the Goldbach conjecture be solved by the end of 2030?

21% chance

Is the Collatz conjecture true?

82% chance

Will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved before the Collatz Conjecture

27% chance

Will the Riemann Hypothesis be solved before the Collatz Conjecture?

70% chance

Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?

99% chance

Sort by:

https://x.com/dmdohan/status/1870176374625054880

(11:59, 31 December 2029)

What time zone?

bought Ṁ30 YES

I think there's a pretty strong chance this will happen

There's a lot of unexplored theory in the space of directed 1-forests: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pseudoforest

Functional graphs define directed 1-forests. In the case of the collatz conjecture this involves demonstrating that the infinite graph contains only one cycle.

There's so many domains that could be connected in some way to the collatz conjecture. Proving it could unlock a whole new branch of mathematics. I think large mathematics models will significantly accelerate this exploration.