Claude 6 (Anthropic) release date

Question

Minor changes to the name, such as 'Claude Opus 6' or 'Claude Fable 6', or other names for a model generally expected to be called Claude 6, will count for the purpose of this market.

The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product. Open, non-selective waitlists count. Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not. Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.

See also:

@8AyI5Np5yl

@OchSUnInIq

@2OzL6Q56y8

@2CqdhIO9cU

@AzzEpzA8ys

@ntStglnQz0

@RlI6hyuNpU

@2Rh2t5hALp

@NONz6Ntycp

@l9lRst5288

@ORA9UAlgdI

@QL5hAdgQld (this market)

@8d2z2tUgsu

@5lA5APSyPy

@shslZstnCN

@tO96p5USgQ

@NlZyqghLqQ

@cc5SnN5St2

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Before July 2027, followed by Before June 2027 and Before May 2027 are most likely. See the market for live updates (55 traders, as of Nov 8, 2026).

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