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MANIFOLD
Iphone is no longer apples dominant product line in terms of revenue by the end of this decade?
15
Ṁ1kṀ701
2029
40%
chance

Resolve to Yes

When iphone is no longer the # 1 dominant driver for revenue.

Example

services makes more revenue than iPhones.

A new product category like Apple Vision cannibalizes iPhone sales phone for number one

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Latest 10-K (fiscal year to Sept 26, 2026): iPhone $254.10B vs Services $123.30B, so Services is under half of iPhone. The gap also widened over the year, from $100.43B to $130.80B, as iPhone grew about 21% ($209.59B to $254.10B) and Services about 13% ($109.16B to $123.30B). With three fiscal years left before the close, Services would need to outgrow iPhone by a wide margin every year for this to resolve YES.

Source: Equibles

Would “services“ count as a product line?

(Just depends on your definition. I think this needs to be clarified here.)

iPhone has hovered around 50% of Apple's revenue for ten years.

The likeliest challenger is revenue from Services, which has doubled to 25% in the past 7 years. In my opinion, their focus on visionOS devices makes another doubling of Services seem unlikely.