On April 28, 2026, Meta announced 2026 capex guidance of $115-135 billion, nearly double 2025's spending. The actual full-year reported figure will land somewhere in or around this range. This market asks whether the reported full-year capex (per Meta's Q4 2026 earnings or 10-K) will be at least $130 billion — i.e., toward the high end of guidance. RESOLVES YES if Meta's officially reported full-year 2026 capital expenditures (from the FY2026 10-K filing, expected late January or early February 2027) are ≥ $130.0 billion. RESOLVES NO if reported full-year 2026 capex is < $130 billion. Source: Meta's 10-K filed with the SEC. If filing is delayed past March 2027, market resolves on the latest available guidance/preliminary.
1,000The description is out of date: Meta has moved the 2026 range three times since January. It went $115B to $135B (Jan 28), $125B to $145B (Apr 29), $130B to $145B (Jul 29) and now $135B to $145B (Oct 21 release), so the guided floor already sits above $130B. Q3 alone was $34.91B. One resolution detail to watch: Meta's guided figure includes principal payments on finance leases, so the 10-K's purchases-of-property line on its own could come in below the headline number. Source: Equibles