Arkansas Senate margin of victory

MANIFOLD

Ṁ300Ṁ2.6k

2027

99%

Cotton, 10+ pts

98%

Cotton, 6+ pts

96%

Cotton, 8+ pts

15%

Cotton, 12+ pts

Cotton, 14+ pts

Cotton, 28+ pts

Cotton, 30+ pts

Cotton, 16+ pts

Cotton, 32+ pts

Cotton, 20+ pts

Cotton, 18+ pts

Cotton, 22+ pts

Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/midterm-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-arsenr

Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.

Kalshi's rules: If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

Before trading: can you confirm each answer follows the corresponding Kalshi threshold (6+, 8+, …, 32+), rather than the description’s single 14-point rule applying to every answer? The answer labels suggest separate cumulative thresholds, but the copied rule names only 14. I have no position here.

People are also trading

Alaska Governor margin of victory

Minnesota Senate: margin of victory

Idaho Senate margin of victory

Which party will win the 2028 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas?

Which party will win the 2028 U.S. House election in Arkansas's 3rd District?

Which party will win the 2028 U.S. House election in Arkansas's 2nd District?

Which party will win the 2028 U.S. House election in Arkansas's 1st District?

Which party will win the 2028 U.S. House election in Arkansas's 4th District?

Minnesota Governor margin of victory

Which party will win Arkansas in the 2028 presidential election?

People are also trading

Related questions