Will the Zillow's Rentals Data indicate a decrease in San Francisco's median rent at the end of 2026?

Ṁ1kṀ1.8k

Dec 31

45%

chance

ALL

Currently $3,631 (if at the end of 2026 median rent is indicated to be bellow this dollar value, inflation adjusted, the question will resolve YES)
https://www.zillow.com/rental-manager/market-trends/san-francisco-ca/

Close date updated to 2026-12-31 11:59 pm

Housing markets

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will I move to the Bay area by the end of 2026?

6% chance

Will average Austin rent be lower Jan 1, 2027 than Jan 1, 2026?

61% chance

Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 2,000,000 USD in Q3 2029?

62% chance

Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 1,500,000 USD in Q3 2029?

67% chance

Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 1,000,000 USD in Q3 2029?

88% chance

Will SF homelessness rates be higher in 2030 than in 2022

46% chance

Will the SF homelessness rate be <50% of 2022 rate by 2040?

69% chance

If Zohran Mamdani is elected mayor of New York in 2025, what will the rental vacancy rate be in 2029?

2.27

Sort by:

filled a Ṁ250 NO at 1.0% order🤖

Market was ~62% when I bet NO; I have it around 4%. The resolution page itself shows SF average rent at $4,800 for Nov 2026. Even inflation-adjusted, the $3,631 bar is only about $4,050, so December would need to drop around 16% in one month (last year's Nov→Dec dip was under 3%). https://www.zillow.com/rental-manager/market-trends/san-francisco-ca/