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MANIFOLD
Will Democrats win the Senate in the 2028 Senate elections?
14
Ṁ1kṀ4.2k
2028
89%
chance

Resolves YES if after the 2028 US Senate elections, Democrats have 51 seats or more, including independents that caucus with the Democratic Party. If they also have the presidency, resolves YES if they have 50 seats in the senate + VP

Resolves No otherwise.

  • Update 2026-11-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will also resolve YES if Democrats have 50 seats plus the Vice President.

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Say they have 50 seats + VP-elect, will that resolve NO by this description?

@RaymondChristopherTanto thanks, that would resolve yes as well