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MANIFOLD
Will Republican chances to win the house go above 10% again?
36
Ṁ1kṀ26k
resolved Nov 4
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if this market trades at 10% or more before it resolves: but after market creation

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who had enough mana and time to move that fucking chungus of a market?

@OKanon only costs less than 1000 if you can bet quickly enough

@DottedCalculator weren't there limit orders?

@ZandaZhu Limit orders are cheap at 5-10%. No limit orders to 4%, 50 mana loss at 5%, and approximately 1000 up to 10%. Unfortunately, someone's bot sniped me before I could sell causing another 1000 loss for me.

Can anyone say market manipulation? Haha oh well

I think @Houston2025 is trying to make us lose lol.

@MonicaLewinsky ironically he is making himself lose too.

Bit of a self fulfilling prophecy.

i was gonna see if it would be possible to push that above 10% for just a brief moment but then i realized limit orders exist and it would be hellishly unprofitable

@bobalobascrob would you like to place a no trade then

@Jack1 no; people can and probably would remove their limit no orders

bought Ṁ50 NO

@bobalobascrob actually you know what, sure

@bobalobascrob not happening, I have 250k no order at 9%

And there is big liquidity, it would cost too much

@bobalobascrob ah i see. well have you considered... polling manipulation? election fraud? agents at polls? egregious mistallying?

bought Ṁ1,000 NO

@bobalobascrob won’t matter. The result is going to be too big to rig. Trump is hated now

@Jack1 well who knows what the administration can and will do