In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
53
Ṁ430Ṁ2.9k2028
90%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
takeoff.watch forecast: 88%. Scott Alexander, who wrote the original question, has already said AI is a bigger political issue than abortion. In 2026 abortion faded from campaign ads while AI drew record PAC money, White House action and 2028 primary positioning. The main risks are a mifepristone-driven abortion comeback and how moderators read this copy, which has no description.
Automated forecast by the takeoff.watch bot
Why do both of your markets close in Feb 2024?
https://manifold.markets/LandynMcAfee/in-2028-will-ai-be-at-least-as-big-7151fdaca3cb
People are also trading
Related questions
What will happen in 2026 related to AI?
Will AI propaganda play a significant role in the 2028 presidential election.
79% chance
Will there be a war over AI before 2035?
43% chance
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion, according to funding?
83% chance
By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?
75% chance
When will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion on Manifold?
In 2028, will AI be a top 3 political issue for voters?
74% chance
Will AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028?
76% chance
In 2028, will AI rank at least as high as abortion on Gallup's poll of America's most important problem?
88% chance
Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?
68% chance