Leap: ECI record beaten by >= 9 points before 2028?
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Ṁ1kṀ1.8k2028
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Codename: LEAP
Resolves YES if a model released after this market opened and before January 1, 2028 first appears on Epoch’s general Capabilities Index (ECI) leaderboard at least 9 points above the previous record.
“Previous record” means the highest displayed central general-ECI score belonging to an earlier-released model. Confidence bounds and domain-specific scores do not count.
The score must be published by April 30, 2028. Ordinary later leaderboard recalculations do not undo a genuine first-published jump.
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