Some commentators have suggested that either Republican House members could vote to refuse to seat newly elected representatives from states that did *not* redistrict in response to the Callais decision, or Democrats could vote to refuse to seat representatives from states that did redistrict. This question resolves YES if and only if a dispute over the legitimacy of a state's district drawing results in at least one representative who wins a Congressional election in November 2026 being unable to take their seat in the 120th Congress by February 1, 2027.
1,000Market was at 31% when I bet NO; I have it near 5%. The worry was a Republican House refusing seats from states that didn't redraw maps. Democrats won the House with 228+ seats and fought the map war by redrawing, not blocking seats. https://www.newsfromthestates.com/article/democrats-win-sizable-us-house-majority-amid-sweep-close-races