Will Tesla increase deliveries in 2026?
30
Ṁ1kṀ5.2kDec 31
94%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Through Q3, Tesla's own figures put 2026 deliveries at 1,324,681 (358,023 in Q1, 480,126 in Q2, 486,532 in Q3, per the Oct 21 update). The 2025 10-K says it delivered approximately 1.64 million consumer vehicles last year, so Q4 needs roughly 315,000 to beat it, against 418,227 in Q4 2025 and 358,023 in Q1 2026, the lowest quarter this year. Global inventory ended Q3 at 11 days of supply. Source: Equibles