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MANIFOLD
Will Putin be in exile, prison, or dead within a month after losing power?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ30
2030
37%
Exile
50%
Prison
28%
Dead

Based on the theory that most extreme authoritarian leaders end up living in exile, prison, or not at all after losing power.

Resolves one month after Putin is no longer the leader of Russia.

If Putin dies in office all options resolve NO.

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Where is the straight chillin` option

Well, there is a IF here. IF he doesent die while in office. But that adds probabillity to option 3: dead.

@EspenJohannesen good point, I clarified that for the option to resolve YES he has to have first lost power