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MANIFOLD
NFL Week 9 - Prop Bets
23
Ṁ4.9kṀ28k
in an hour
99%
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
99%
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
99%
Any team scores 40+ points
99%
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
99%
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
99%
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
99%
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
99%
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
99%
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
99%
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
99%
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
98.6%
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
98.6%
Fake Punt
98.6%
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
98.6%
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
98.6%
Overtime
98.6%
Pick Six
98%
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
98%
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
97%
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number

2026-27 NFL Season - Week Nine

*** Prop Clarifications

  • At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    • Favorite based on DraftKings closing line

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Based on closing DraftKings lines

  • A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    • If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season

    • Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)

    • Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)

  • Fake Punt Attempt

    • If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting

  • Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    • The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout

    • Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases

      • No Injury

      • If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)

      • Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs

  • Fat Guy Touchdown

    • A player that would be considered fat scores a TD

    • All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)

      • Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)

  • Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)

    • Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)

  • A 4th and 11+ is converted

    • First downs as the result of penalties do not count

    • This logic applies similar to any other prop like this

      • "(no plays)" in the box score do not count as a play

  • Top 5 Super Bowl favorites

    • If there is a tie for 5th (or like 4-6th), this will resolve at 50%

  • Will a championship belt change teams?

    • There are unique 4 Championship Belts currently in play

      • (Markets to be made)

  • In general, lines that use betting lines or props will rely on the DraftKings odds

Add your own props! Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after this Week's game slate completes!

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bought Ṁ400 YES

Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
https://www.patspulpit.com/new-england-patriots-news/143543/patriots-bench-drake-maye-after-3-interception-game-against-packers

Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Cowboys touchdown 1:37 to 1:08

bought Ṁ50 YES

@StopPunting

This shouldn't count as a "bench" right? Packers were up by 24, and Maye will probably play next game.

@ShunyaoYan yeah, part of the criteria of benching is that it's a question of the QB will start next game (due to performance)

bought Ṁ320 YES

4th and goal at 1 or inches stopped
Browns stopped by Saints 2nd Q:
0-yd Run 1:42 - 2nd

Z.Zinter reported in as eligible. Q.Judkins left guard to NO 1 for no gain (K.Elliss; D.Godchaux).

4th & Goal at NO 1
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Bengals
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
Bengals 34 Falcons 17
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
Bengals 2nd Q Evan McPherson 57 Yd Field Goal
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped

Panthers Q4:
25-yd Pass

3:18 - 4th

(Shotgun) B.Young pass deep left to J.Metchie to DEN 9 for 25 yards (T.Rapp).PENALTY on DEN-Z.Allen, Roughing the Passer, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 9.

4th & 18 at DEN 34