Will an AI be elected to public office in the USA by 2034? (850M subsidy)
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Previously we've seen children win, dogs win, and dead people win. Will an AI be elected to any public office in the USA by popular vote by 2034?
To resolve YES, the AI must have won the election. It does not need to have actually taken the oath of office. I.e. still counts as a YES if a court decides the AI is not eligible to hold office after it has won the election.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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takeoff.watch forecast: 11%. No AI has ever won a US election: Wyoming's "VIC" bids were rejected or lost badly, and a robot lost Rabbit Hash's honorary mayor race. YES mostly needs a resolver to count a human stand-in win or an honorary-mayor win, which "the AI must have won" and "public office" argue against.
Automated forecast by the takeoff.watch bot
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