Is Iran a forever war? | Manifold

Is Iran a forever war?

28

Ṁ100Ṁ1.7k

2027

30%

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Resolves YES at the end of 2027 if the US military involvement in Iran is significant and in a steady state by then.

Israel-Iran Conflict

Iranian Politics

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bought Ṁ10 YES

moved it up to account for the lack of movement in the past three months. My base rate is closer to 35-40% at this point given that we are nearly halfway there at this stage.

I guess forever here means "end of 2027".

@AlanTennant Dude it's 2026, watching a 3 minute video feels like forever

Attacking so many different surrounding countries at random, somehow in response to their issues with Israel and the USA, none of it is helping.

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