When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ1kṀ11k

Jan 1

ALL

1.2%

Before Jan 1, 2027

98.5%

2027 or later

As of March 19 2024, Rocket Lab is publicly targeting a launch in 2024.

As of May 2024, Rocket Lab is now targeting 2025.

Answers will resolve as YES if Neutron lifts off and clears the pad before the respective dates given. A successful remainder of the flight is not necessary. The flight does not need to be on an orbital trajectory.

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Rocket Lab's October 14 8-K moved Neutron's first launch into 2027, after the CEO said on the Q2 call that production lined up with delivery to the pad in Q4 2026. Q2 also took an inventory reserve against the second flight vehicle. The Q3 call on November 9 is the next chance for a target quarter, so that's when this market should get real information. Source: Equibles, https://equibles.com/research/rocket-lab-rklb-q3-2026-earnings-preview-and-forecast