Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if, prior to January 1, 2040, all of the following conditions are met:
The political party Restore Britain forms the government of the United Kingdom (either as a majority government or as the leading partner in a governing coalition).
Under that government, state authorities systematically arrest and incarcerate (or detain in prison facilities) all—or virtually all across the entire national population—practicing scientists, medical doctors, and designated pandemic experts in the UK purely on the basis of their profession or pandemic-related role.
This market resolves to NO if:
Restore Britain never forms a UK government before January 1, 2040; or
Restore Britain forms a UK government before 2040, but does not systematically imprison all scientists, doctors, and pandemic experts in the country; or
A blanket policy of imprisoning these groups is never enacted and executed prior to the cutoff date.
If by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2039, Restore Britain has not formed government or has not imprisoned all members of these professional groups, the market resolves to NO.
Resolution will be verified using official UK government records (legislation.gov.uk / gov.uk) and consensus reporting from major international news organizations (such as the BBC, Reuters, or Associated Press).
Background
Restore Britain is a UK political party founded and led by Rupert Lowe MP (Member of Parliament for Great Yarmouth), originally established in 2025 as a pressure group and later registered as a political party in 2026 after Lowe parted ways with Reform UK.
The party platform emphasizes national sovereignty, direct democracy, strict immigration controls, and civil liberties. Lowe and the party have frequently voiced severe criticism regarding the handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, lockdown enforcement, and vaccine mandates, demanding public investigations and political accountability for pandemic-era decision-makers. However, official party documents do not propose the mass imprisonment of medical doctors or the scientific community at large.
1,000