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MANIFOLD
How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?
35
Ṁ7.2kṀ54k
Dec 31
99%
254+ seats
99%
257+ (2008 result)
92%
260+ seats
13%
261+ seats
9%
262+ seats
4%
263+ seats
1%
267+ (1990 result)
Resolved
YES
194+ (2016 result)
Resolved
YES
213+ (2022 result)
Resolved
YES
215+ (2024 result)
Resolved
YES
218+ (majority)
Resolved
YES
222+ (2020 result)
Resolved
YES
226+ seats
Resolved
YES
230+ seats
Resolved
YES
233+ seats
Resolved
YES
235+ (2018 result)
Resolved
YES
236+ seats
Resolved
YES
237+ seats
Resolved
YES
238+ seats
Resolved
YES
239+ seats

Including independents who intend to caucus with the Democrats.

Based on consensus of credible reporting called races.

Please format answers as X+ for X or more seats. If there's relevant context to the number, feel free to add it; or just add numbers that seem relevant to forecast.

See also:
/ShaneBo/will-democrats-have-225-or-more-sea

/kl938/will-the-democratic-party-win-more-Sh65d0959n

US Politics
Elections
2026 US Congressional Elections
2026 Midterms
Democratic Party
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@Jack1 resolve a few to clean up the display so we can see the good stuff?

@Eliza a lot haven’t been called yet

@Jack1 Sounds good, I'll check back later!

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