N/a if no vote before Jan 3 2027.
Resolves based on first vote.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the option corresponding to U.S. Representative Haley Stevens' recorded floor vote on the first House resolution containing articles of impeachment against Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth brought to a full floor vote in the United States House of Representatives.
The possible outcomes resolve as follows:
Yes: Representative Stevens votes "Yea" or "Aye" on the adoption of the resolution (or on any individual article if voted on separately; if voted on separately, resolving "Yes" if she votes "Yea" on at least one article).
No: Representative Stevens votes "Nay" or "No" on the adoption of the resolution (or against all articles if voted on separately).
Present: Representative Stevens casts an official recorded vote of "Present".
Doesn’t vote: Representative Stevens does not cast a recorded floor vote (recorded as "Not Voting" in official roll call records, absent, or no longer serving as a Member of the House at the time of the vote).
Official resolution will be determined using the roll call vote record published on the official Office of the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives website (clerk.house.gov).
Precondition / Edge Cases:
Procedural floor votes (such as votes to table the resolution, votes on motions to refer to committee, or votes on the previous question) do not trigger resolution unless the creator clarifies otherwise; the vote must be on the passage/adoption of the resolution or articles of impeachment itself.
If no floor vote on an impeachment resolution against Pete Hegseth takes place in the House of Representatives by the end of the 119th Congress, this market will resolve N/A.
Background
House lawmakers have introduced articles of impeachment against Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth. Procedural actions to force floor consideration of impeachment resolutions require recorded floor votes under House rules if privileged motions are called.
Representative Haley Stevens (D-MI) represents Michigan's 11th Congressional District. Floor votes in the House of Representatives typically record each member as "Yea", "Nay", "Present", or "Not Voting". Because this is a dependent multiple-choice market with answers disabled, only one listed outcome can resolve as the winner.