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MANIFOLD
Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?
66
Ṁ4.9kṀ21k
Dec 1
85%
Zohran Mamdani
83%
Pope Leo XIV
70%
Mark Carney
65%
James Talarico
65%
Abdul El Sayed
53%
Donald Trump
38%
Dario Amodei
35%
Benjamin Netanyahu
31%
Scott Colom
28%
Bad Bunny
27%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
25%
Sam Altman
25%
Joshua Turek
25%
Annie Andrews
21%
Troy Jackson
20%
Chuck Schumer
20%
Elon Musk
20%
JD Vance
20%
Peggy Flanagan
20%
Juliana Stratton

Resolves according to the shortlist released by TIME. If no shortlist is released, everything resolves no.

Must be explicitly named as the headline. Eg. If ‘The Iranian People’ was on the shortlist, Iranians like Reza Pahlavi wouldn’t count. Even if they named him in the blurb about Iranian people.

(Excludes Artemis|| , individual astronauts would resolve yes if Artemis || is named)

However if it was ‘Reza Pahlavi and the Iranian people’ Reza would resolve yes.

Suggest answers below.

  • Update 2026-04-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the Artemis II crew is listed on the shortlist as a group (e.g. 'Artemis 2'), all individual crew members resolve YES. Individual crew members have been added as separate answer options.

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opened a Ṁ3,000 YES at 22% order

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bought Ṁ10 NO

If Ukraine war ends: Zelensky.

Artemis II crew

bought Ṁ100 NO

@Marnix added them as individual names

However if they are listed on the shortlist as ‘Artemis 2’

They would all resolve yes

Kylian Mbappe

Lamine Yamal

bought Ṁ5 NO

Dario

bought Ṁ10 NO

Any suggestions for answers to add?

bought Ṁ1 YES

@Jack1 Oman’s sultan perhaps?

bought Ṁ100 NO
bought Ṁ20 NO

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