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MANIFOLD
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?
5
Ṁ300Ṁ444
2029
59%
At least 58
68%
At least 56
72%
At least 55
73%
At least 54
77%
At least 53
32%
At least 60
82%
At least 52
86%
At least 51
90%
At least 50
91%
At least 49
93%
At least 48
95%
At least 47

Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenateseatsd/democratic-senate-seat-count/kxsenateseatsd-29

Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.

Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 58 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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