Opportunity Vote Percent in 2026 NZ General election?
7
Ṁ700Ṁ2.3kDec 31
0.1%
0-3.99%
1.9%
4%-4.99%
61%
5%-5.99%
36%
6-6.99%
0.8%
7-7.99%
0.6%
8-8.99%
0.2%
9% or more
Resolves according to the opportunity party’s vote percent in the 2026 nz general election. Resolves according to official final results.
Resolves to lower bracket for final vote percents that are not shown. Eg. 8.99999% would resolve 8-8.99%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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TOP is on 5.96% in the preliminary count, with about 399,000 special votes still to be added. It needs only about 6.24% of those to finish at 6.00% or more, and specials usually lean young and urban, which suits TOP. 6–6.99% was at 20% when I bet; I have it around 80%. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_New_Zealand_general_election
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