Will the New Zealand Green Party get 15.00% of the party vote or more at the 2026 Election?
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2026 New Zealand general election - Wikipedia
Resolves yes based on the NZ green party’s official % of the party vote.
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Market was about 38% when I bet; I've got it around 7%. RNZ has the Greens on 13.4% with 82.6% of voting places in, down from 14.0% earlier in the count. In 2023 special votes added about 0.8 points for the Greens; reaching 15 would take roughly double that. https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/election-2026-results
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